Yankees outfielder Aaron Judge has won AL MVP honors in two of the last three seasons, and he’s having arguably the best season of his career in 2025. Judge is slashing .354/.456/.705 with 28 home runs and 63 RBI, and he’s racked up 215 total bases in 82 games. On Sunday, Judge’s over/under for total bases is 1.5 with the over paying -120 in the latest MLB prop odds, and he’s had at least two total bases in 49 games this season. He’s also 2-for-3 with a double off Athletics starter Luis Severino, which is a big reason why Judge over 1.5 total bases is one of our top MLB prop picks for today.
Targeting MLB player props is one way to approach MLB betting on Sunday’s MLB schedule at online sports betting sites. With MLB props available for almost every player in every game at sportsbooks, SportsLine’s proven computer model can help you find value to add to your MLB picks. They can also help new users take advantage of sportsbook promos like the latest Fanatics Sportsbook promo code:
The model simulates every game 10,000 times and is on a 41-32 run on all top-rated MLB picks. The model has excelled making home run prop picks this season, returning more than 21 units of profit. Now, the model and SportsLine’s team of Data Scientists have revealed their projections for some of the most-bet MLB player props on Sunday.
Best Sunday MLB player prop picks:
- Aaron Judge, Yankees, over 1.5 total bases (-120)
- Jonathan Cannon, White Sox, over 3.5 strikeouts (+124)
- Spencer Strider, Braves, over 1.5 earned runs (-154)
- Parlay these picks for +533 odds at BetMGM (odds subject to change)
Aaron Judge, Yankees, over 1.5 total bases (-120)
These MLB prop odds imply this bet has a 54.6% chance of hitting, but Judge has gone over 1.5 total bases in 59.8% of games this season. When he matched up with Severino on May 11, he wound up going 4-for-5 on the day, so getting this at even close to even money is a coup. SportsLine’s model projects 2.4 total bases for Judge, and BetMGM has the best price. With a BetMGM promo code, first-time users can get up to $1,500 in bonus bets if your first wager loses.
Jonathan Cannon, White Sox, over 3.5 strikeouts (+124)
The 24-year-old was a third-round pick out of Georgia in 2022, and he has a 4.55 ERA over 188 innings in his MLB career. Cannon has punched out 141 during that span, so he’s averaged 7.2 strikeouts per nine innings and has lasted 5 1/3 innings per appearance on average. That alone makes this pretty fair value, but Cannon has registered at least four strikeouts in three of his last four outings. He’s also gone over on his total strikeouts prop in eight of his past 14 games. The model projects 4.4 strikeouts on Sunday against the Giants. You could add even more value to this MLB prop with the latest FanDuel promo code:
Spencer Strider, Braves, over 1.5 earned runs (-154)
Strider’s stuff is still electric, but consistency has been an issue since returning from Tommy John surgery earlier this year. He’s posted a 4.07 ERA over eight starts and has given up at least two earned runs in five of those outings. Now he’ll match up with a potent Phillies lineup that ranks 10th in baseball in runs scored and the model predicts that he gives up 2.7 earned runs on average. Caesars has the best price here and you can also double your winning on your next 10 bets after your first $1 wager with this Caesars Sportsbook promo code.
Want more MLB player prop picks for Sunday?
You’ve seen the model’s MLB picks for some popular player props on Sunday. Now, get MLB projections for every player prop at SportsLine.
Also at SportsLine:
You can also see today’s best MLB picks from Bruce Marshall, who’s 26-23-1 (+554) over his last 50 MLB picks. Visit SportsLine to see his best bets for Sunday’s MLB schedule, and be sure to see Jacob Fetner and the Inside the Lines team’s best bets for Sunday.
Finally, SportsLine expert Matt Severance, who is 171-100 (+1381) over his last 271 MLB picks, has his MLB picks locked in for Sunday. Visit SportsLine to see his best plays for today.
