Oliveira has evolved into a resilient fighter, and despite Topuria’s potent punching power, each of Topuria’s last four fights have made it past the first round. Oliveira is tough enough to last past the first round, and taking Topuria to win and over 5.5 total minutes could be a way to get the Moneyline down from a heavy -400 to close to even money at -105.
Pick: Ilia Topuria to win and over 5.5 total minutes (-105)
Other main card bet to consider: Kai Kara-France +5.5 Point Spread (+105)
Read about UFC Point Spread betting at DraftKings Network: How to Bet UFC Point Spreads on DraftKings Sportsbook
Kai Kara-France is the fourth-cheapest fighter on the DraftKings fantasy UFC slate at only $7,200, but his fight vs. Alexandre Pantoja could be closer than the salaries indicate. Kara-France is an excellent striker and has good defensive metrics, avoiding 65% of opponent significant strike attempts and stopping 88% of opponent takedown attempts. If Kara-France can make this primarily a distance striking match, he is a live underdog and could provide strong fantasy value. This fight is also five rounds, which could potentially create 10 extra minutes to generate fantasy scoring.
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All odds provided by DraftKings Sportsbook, lines and odds subject to change.