The 2025 NBA Finals shift to Indianapolis as the Indiana Pacers host the Oklahoma City Thunder in Game 3 on Wednesday. After the Pacers stole Game 1, the Thunder bounced back to even the series. OKC defeated the Pacers 123-107 on Sunday. The Thunder have gone 62-36 against the spread (ATS) as the favorites this season. Meanwhile, Indiana is 26-19 ATS as an underdog.
Tipoff is at 8:30 p.m. ET from the Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis, marking the first Finals game in the city in 25 years. The Thunder are 5.5-point favorites in the latest Pacers vs. Thunder odds from DraftKings Sportsbook, after being double-digit favorites in each of the first two contests. The over/under for total points scored is 226.5. OKC is a -228 money-line favorite (risk $228 to win $100), while the Pacers are +187 underdogs. Before locking in any Thunder vs. Pacers picks, make sure to check out the NBA predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in betting profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past six-plus seasons. The model enters the 2025 NBA Finals on a sizzling 160-118 roll on all top-rated NBA picks, returning nearly $4,000. It is also 24-11 (69%) on top-rated NBA against-the-spread picks this season. Anyone following at sportsbooks and on betting apps could have seen huge returns.
Now, the model has simulated Thunder vs. Pacers 10,000 times and just revealed its coveted NBA picks and betting predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Here are several NBA odds and NBA betting lines for Thunder vs. Pacers:
Why the Thunder can cover
The Thunder were able to secure a 16-point victory in Game 2, which is their second victory by double figures over Indiana this season. OKC is 49-28-3 against the spread after a win and 25-20-2 against the spread as the away team. The Thunder had three guys score 15-plus points in the victory.
Guard Shai Gilgeous-Alexander was one of the leading players, tallying 34 points, eight assists and four steals on Sunday. Forward Chet Holmgren is a lengthy presence in the frontcourt as a scorer and rebounder. He finished with 15 points and six rebounds in Game 2. The Gonzaga product has scored at least 15 points in three of his last four games. See which team to back at SportsLine.
Why the Pacers can cover
The Pacers are 21-13-2 against the spread after a loss while being 12-6 against the spread in the playoffs. In addition, they are 6-2 at home in the 2025 NBA playoffs. Three of those wins were by double figures. Guard Andrew Nembhard is another two-way force in the backcourt. He’s averaging 12.8 points, 5.1 assists and a team-high 1.6 steals per game in the playoffs.
Nembhard has scored 10-plus points in three straight games. Center Myles Turner has been a force for Indiana. Through two games in the NBA Finals, he’s averaging 15.5 points, 6.5 rebounds and 1.5 blocks per game. In the Game 1 win, Turner had 15 points, nine boards and knocked down two threes. See which team to back at SportsLine.
How to make Thunder vs. Pacers picks
SportsLine’s model has simulated Thunder vs. Pacers and is leaning Under the total, projecting 222 combined points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in well over 50% of simulations. You can head to SportsLine to see the model’s NBA picks.
So who wins Thunder vs. Pacers Game 3, and which side of the spread hits in well over 50% of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Thunder vs. Pacers spread to back, all from the model that has returned well over $10,000 on top-rated NBA picks, and find out.
